The world faces a year of uncertainty going into 2025. Global growth is expected to plod along in the first half of 2025, with the second half influenced by developments in the US and China. The incoming Trump administration’s policies are expected to be inflationary and boost US short-term growth, but protectionism and tariffs may weigh on the global economy. China’s further stimulus measures will be closely watched. The US Fed’s rate cut cycle may be tempered by a cloudier inflation picture with the Fed’s terminal rate potentially higher than initially expected.

Read Eastspring’s 2025 Market Outlook